比特币CCI策略回测:用商品通道指标交易超卖反弹

CCI(商品通道指标)衡量价格偏离统计均值的程度。策略:CCI上穿-100(离开超卖区)时买入,下穿+100(离开超买区)时卖出。来看数据。

策略规则

  • 买入:CCI(20)上穿-100
  • 卖出:CCI(20)下穿+100
  • CCI周期:20
  • 仓位100%——全进或全出
  • 每笔交易0.1%手续费
  • 无杠杆、不做空

回测结果

期间: 2017-09-05 to 2026-03-23 (8.5 years)

策略年化收益率
9.4%
买入持有年化
38.7%
策略最大回撤
-69.4%
B&H最大回撤
-83.2%
总交易次数
54
胜率
61.1%
盈亏比
1.1x
在场时间
47.1%

关键发现

完整交易记录

#进场出场收益天数
12017-12-252018-01-07+17.7%13
22018-01-202018-02-21-18.7%32
32018-03-122018-04-26+1.3%45
42018-05-192018-07-29-0.5%71
52018-08-132018-09-05+7.1%23
62018-09-122018-09-29+3.9%17
72018-10-152018-10-17-0.4%2
82018-11-012018-12-25-41.8%54
92019-01-162019-02-12+0.9%27
102019-07-192019-08-10+7.5%22
(34 more trades)
442025-01-102025-01-23+9.5%13
452025-02-102025-03-28-13.5%46
462025-04-102025-04-29+18.2%19
472025-06-072025-07-04+2.1%27
482025-08-062025-08-14+2.7%8
492025-08-222025-09-19-1.3%28
502025-09-282025-10-08+9.7%10
512025-10-192025-12-11-15.0%53
522025-12-192026-01-08+3.2%20
532026-01-222026-03-06-24.1%43

数据来源:Binance BTC/USDT日线。包含0.1%手续费。过去业绩不保证未来表现。

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