比特幣 CCI 策略回測:用商品通道指標交易超賣反彈

CCI(商品通道指標)衡量價格偏離統計均值的程度。策略:CCI 上穿 -100(離開超賣區)時買入,下穿 +100(離開超買區)時賣出。來看數據。

策略規則

  • 買入:CCI(20) 上穿 -100
  • 賣出:CCI(20) 下穿 +100
  • CCI 週期:20
  • 倉位 100%——全進或全出
  • 每筆交易 0.1% 手續費
  • 無槓桿、不做空

回測結果

期間: 2017-09-05 to 2026-03-23 (8.5 years)

策略年化報酬率
9.4%
買入持有年化
38.7%
策略最大回撤
-69.4%
B&H最大回撤
-83.2%
總交易次數
54
勝率
61.1%
盈虧比
1.1x
在場時間
47.1%

關鍵發現

完整交易記錄

#進場出場報酬天數
12017-12-252018-01-07+17.7%13
22018-01-202018-02-21-18.7%32
32018-03-122018-04-26+1.3%45
42018-05-192018-07-29-0.5%71
52018-08-132018-09-05+7.1%23
62018-09-122018-09-29+3.9%17
72018-10-152018-10-17-0.4%2
82018-11-012018-12-25-41.8%54
92019-01-162019-02-12+0.9%27
102019-07-192019-08-10+7.5%22
(34 more trades)
442025-01-102025-01-23+9.5%13
452025-02-102025-03-28-13.5%46
462025-04-102025-04-29+18.2%19
472025-06-072025-07-04+2.1%27
482025-08-062025-08-14+2.7%8
492025-08-222025-09-19-1.3%28
502025-09-282025-10-08+9.7%10
512025-10-192025-12-11-15.0%53
522025-12-192026-01-08+3.2%20
532026-01-222026-03-06-24.1%43

數據來源:Binance BTC/USDT 日線。包含 0.1% 手續費。過去績效不保證未來表現。

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