比特幣隨機 RSI 策略回測:把兩個指標合成一個訊號

隨機 RSI 是把隨機指標公式套用在 RSI 上——本質上是「動能的動能」指標。比純 RSI 更靈敏、訊號更快。%K 上穿 20 買入,下穿 80 賣出。

策略規則

  • 買入:Stochastic RSI %K 上穿 20
  • 賣出:%K 下穿 80
  • 設定:RSI(14)、Stochastic(14)、%K(3)、%D(3)
  • 倉位 100%——全進或全出
  • 每筆交易 0.1% 手續費
  • 無槓桿、不做空

回測結果

期間: 2017-09-16 to 2026-03-23 (8.5 years)

策略年化報酬率
37.3%
買入持有年化
41.5%
策略最大回撤
-47.4%
B&H最大回撤
-83.2%
總交易次數
98
勝率
54.1%
盈虧比
1.8x
在場時間
50.5%

關鍵發現

完整交易記錄

#進場出場報酬天數
12017-09-172017-10-04+13.5%17
22017-10-302017-11-10+6.1%11
32017-11-152017-12-09+102.2%24
42017-12-282018-01-09+1.3%12
52018-01-222018-02-02-17.7%11
62018-02-092018-02-23+16.5%14
72018-03-202018-03-26-8.9%6
82018-04-082018-04-26+31.8%18
92018-05-102018-06-03-14.5%24
102018-06-202018-06-28-13.6%8
(78 more trades)
882025-05-272025-06-20-5.4%24
892025-06-262025-07-08+1.6%12
902025-08-072025-08-19-4.1%12
912025-08-222025-09-05-5.6%14
922025-09-292025-10-10-1.5%11
932025-10-242025-11-03-4.2%10
942025-11-192025-12-11+0.8%22
952025-12-202026-01-08+2.9%19
962026-01-232026-02-21-24.3%29
972026-03-212026-03-23 (open)+3.6%2

數據來源:Binance BTC/USDT 日線。包含 0.1% 手續費。過去績效不保證未來表現。

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