比特币RSI趋势跟随策略回测:RSI突破50的动能策略

RSI(相对强弱指标)是最热门的技术指标之一——但多数交易者用错了方式。与其在超卖时买入、超买时卖出,如果把RSI当作纯动能过滤器呢?RSI在50以上就买入(多头动能),跌破50就卖出(空头动能)。我们跑了回测。

策略规则

  • 买入:RSI(14)上穿50(多头动能)
  • 卖出:RSI(14)下穿50(空头动能)
  • 仓位100%——全进或全出
  • 每笔交易0.1%手续费
  • 无杠杆、不做空

回测结果

期间: 2017-08-30 to 2026-03-23 (8.6 years)

策略年化收益率
53.2%
买入持有年化
37.9%
策略最大回撤
-67.0%
B&H最大回撤
-83.2%
总交易次数
182
胜率
36.3%
盈亏比
4.1x
在场时间
53.9%

关键发现

完整交易记录

#进场出场收益天数
12017-09-272017-10-28+36.2%31
22017-10-292017-11-12-6.0%14
32017-11-132017-12-21+139.4%38
42018-01-052018-01-09-15.3%4
52018-01-132018-01-14-5.4%1
62018-01-152018-01-16-19.7%1
72018-02-152018-03-06+7.0%19
82018-04-122018-05-08+15.8%26
92018-05-092018-05-10-3.5%1
102018-06-062018-06-10-11.9%4
(162 more trades)
1722025-10-252025-10-26+2.4%1
1732025-10-302025-11-03-1.8%4
1742025-12-032025-12-12-3.6%9
1752025-12-152025-12-16+1.5%1
1762025-12-292026-01-19+6.0%21
1772026-02-192026-02-20+1.3%1
1782026-02-252026-02-27-3.3%2
1792026-03-032026-03-07-1.8%4
1802026-03-092026-03-18+3.9%9
1812026-03-202026-03-23 (open)+1.3%3

数据来源:Binance BTC/USDT日线。包含0.1%手续费。过去业绩不保证未来表现。

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